tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28765366.post41213229027279455..comments2024-03-29T02:41:52.718-07:00Comments on Seattle Schools Community Forum: Major Storm Coming Melissa Westbrookhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17179994245880629080noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28765366.post-72283366036162373552016-10-13T11:48:34.242-07:002016-10-13T11:48:34.242-07:00Oh well, never mind that storm-of-the-century stuf...Oh well, never mind that storm-of-the-century stuff. The UW forecast has mellowed a lot since yesterday. Now they have the storm bottoming at 974 mmHg (just slightly stronger than the Thursday storm) and landing around Kalaloch on a path northeast to Vancouver.Outsidernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28765366.post-17489057493778507362016-10-12T19:09:03.864-07:002016-10-12T19:09:03.864-07:00The 1962 storm had air pressure at the center as l...The 1962 storm had air pressure at the center as low as 958 mmHG, says Wikipedia. (Lower = stronger storm.) UW predicts the second storm upcoming will bottom at 954, but with the center about 200 miles offshore. According to the NWS:<br /><br />WE STILL HAVE MUCH TO LEARN ABOUT THE SATURDAY STORM. WHAT WE KNOW IS THAT AN <b>INCREDIBLY DEEP LOW PRESSURE CENTER</b>... WITH ITS ORIGINS TRACED BACK TO TYPHOON SONGDA IN THE WESTERN PACIFIC... WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC AND PEAK IN STRENGTH ON SATURDAY. <br /><br />WHAT REMAINS TO BE SEEN IS EXACTLY WHAT TRACK THE LOW CENTER WILL TAKE. THIS WILL MAKE A HUGE DIFFERENCE IN HOW BADLY THIS STORM IMPACTS WESTERN WASHINGTON. THERE IS A 1 IN 3 CHANCE OF THE LOW CENTER DIRECTLY CROSSING SOME PART OF WESTERN WASHINGTON. THIS WOULD BE A WORST CASE SCENARIO LEADING TO A <b>HISTORICAL WINDSTORM FOR NEARLY ALL OF WESTERN WASHINGTON THAT WOULD BE LONG REMEMBERED</b>.<br /><br />THERE IS A 2 IN 3 CHANCE THAT THE LOW CENTER WILL PASS HUNDREDS OF MILES OFF THE COAST... MAKING LANDFALL OVER CENTRAL OR NORTHERN VANCOUVER ISLAND INSTEAD. THIS OUTCOME CONFINE THE MOST DAMAGING WINDS TO THE COAST AND TO THE NORTH INTERIOR (AREAS NORTH OF EVERETT)... BUT INLAND LOCATIONS SUCH AS THE PUGET SOUND REGION AND THE I-5 CORRIDOR OF SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON WOULD EXPERIENCE THE TYPE OF WINDSTORM THAT WOULD NORMALLY BE EXPECTED A FEW TIMES EACH STORM SEASON. POWER OUTAGES AND TREE DAMAGE OVER INLAND LOCATIONS WOULD BE LESS WIDESPREAD.<br /><br />I predict multiple casualties regardless -- among TV weather-people who can't contain their excitement.Outsidernoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-28765366.post-31848946212003259872016-10-12T18:04:05.497-07:002016-10-12T18:04:05.497-07:00The benchmark for storms like this is The Columbus...The benchmark for storms like this is The Columbus Day Storm of 1962.<br /><br /><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Columbus_Day_Storm_of_1962" rel="nofollow"> The Big Blow </a><br /><br />Typhoon Freda's pounding was likely the biggest blow of the last 100 years in this area.<br /><br />-- Dan DempseyAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com