District Loses Enrollment

This story comes via the Seattle Times which sure does pick and choose what stories about SPS that they will print.

The story is entitled "Student Enrollment in Seattle Continues to Drop. Here's What It Means."

Just to state upfront, SPS has virtually never had the urge to actually ask parents WHY they are leaving SPS and WHERE they are going. The article has mostly quotes from JoLynn Berge, the assistant superintendent of business and finance at SPS.

So it's a bit of a blindspot for SPS to say:

“It’s going to take us a while to either understand that those changes are going to be permanent or to return back to previous practice,” Berge said.

From the article:
In the last two years, Seattle had a 6.4% enrollment drop, Berge said, almost double the state’s 3.4% decline.

In the 2015 school year, enrollment was approximately 50,000. It rose to it's highest point in 2019 with nearly 53,000 and dropped to 49.5 thousand in 2021. They are projecting even lower enrollment of 48.7 thousand in 2022.10,000
What

What is fascinating is that in the article, Berge twice calls out more "wealthy" and "privileged" parents in the north end. And the Times printsboth those quotes even though they are quite similar. Almost if there was a point to drive home that the drop in enrollment is really the fault of some parents.

“I do think in Seattle we have a high degree of wealth and privilege and a higher instance of opportunity,” Berge said in an interview. In the metro area, there are more private school choices for families — besides home-schooling — than other parts of the state.

“During the pandemic, wealthier schools have seen the biggest staffing adjustments,” Berge said. “The higher poverty schools had the fewest reductions — they didn’t lose students at the same rate and I think that speaks to privilege and choice.”

Another item of interest: 

“The enrollment loss is not proportional,” Berge said during the June board meeting. “We’re not losing children in special education. The other thing that we know is children who receive special education services are not the children who go to private school or leave our district.”

Well, no mystery there because it is a rare charter or private school that has the same number of services provided to Special Education students that SPS does.

Where does this leave the district?

The district has spent about $89.9 million in ESSER funds so far and has about $55.2 million left. School districts need to use these funds by September 2024. Some funds will last through the 2023-24 school year, Berge said.

One thing that will help blunt the impact this coming school year: State legislators approved temporary, one-time funds for school districts to supplement enrollment drops. Seattle Schools is receiving about $18 million for the upcoming year.

Comments

Curious George said…
Isn’t she saying, “that if given a choice, and if they have the means, families would choose an alternative to SPS?”
Good point, Curious. I think the district is worried what they would find out if they actually asked parents "why are you leaving?"
Anonymous said…
After years of watching the enrollment game, I’m convinced SPS doesn’t care that dissatisfied families are looking elsewhere. It’s a matter of right-sizing FTE and closing a building when they can. But don’t let a good crisis go to waste! Double down on the class warfare SPS leadership and community always seems to be stoking amongst the families of Seattle. “Inclusivity” is not making judgments about families who want a better school system.

Pot Shot

Vincent said…
Shaming parents into staying at public schools. Let's see if this strategy pans out
...
Stuart J said…
Another item to research is how many young kids there are. The article mentions lower enrollment in the earlier grades. Is this because the students don't live in the city at all, or because they are elsewhere, eg some place more affordable?

The class war quotes stood out to me too. While dissatisfaction with HCC opportunities no doubt drives some families out, HCC enrollment is not a huge part of the district. Maybe though it is turning into a symbol of "we don't care about providing opportunities" and that this cultural message from SPS administrators is what drives families out, or from entering in the first place.
Anonymous said…
Enrollment at many NE Seattle elementary schools is down 15%-25% looking at May 2022 vs Feb 2020 so there's definitely a higher % decline in that area than the full SPS numbers. They have been losing kids for a while (including many kids receiving special ed services, but usually the easiest to serve) but this is definitely an acceleration.

The district could easily ask parents why they are leaving. They don't and haven't for years - I can't imagine it isn't intentional. The pandemic gave them an easy way to try to pretend this isn't almost certainly a result of their continued reduction of HCC/Advanced learning.

NE Parent
Anonymous said…
We had a huge influx of new kids at our NE parochial school in 2021, as parents were seeking in-person instruction. SPS didn’t announce a return to in-person schooling until *after* the deposit deadline at our school. I know a lot of families that are planning to return to SPS in the fall now that everyone is back in person. I do think some NE parents are fed up with SPS, but the pandemic also temporarily inflated the numbers.

We chose parochial because it was the only way for us to access a K-8, but anticipated public high school. I’m really disappointed how advanced coursework has been gutted at Roosevelt. We are a ways away from high school, but I’m not expecting things to improve.

Parochial Mom

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