District Drops Another 1100 Students

There’s clearly something very wrong for the district to be losing students. If the district and the Board want to continue with their “housing costs/low birthrate” then they are being delusional. Something is up and any smart district would be working to figure it out.

From the Seattle Times’ Danny Westneat who writes about the SPS post-pandemic headaches:

The Seattle schools have suffered another blow, with enrollment dropping this fall by 1,100 more students.

According to the district’s September count, 48,960 kids showed up for the city’s public K-12 schools. That’s down from 50,111 last September. It’s nearly 5,000 fewer students than in the fall of 2019, before the virus and the school closures touched off an unraveling.

This is the smallest the Seattle school district has been since 2012, just as the big Amazon boom was about to get rolling. It means a decade of progress, growth and popularity has been lopped off.

That last sentence is stunningly true.

I’ve written before about who is leaving. Asian families are leading the exodus, with an enrollment drop of 15% since 2019, according to state data. There’s no way to know exactly why they’re going, though, as it hasn’t been studied.

I would love to see a campaign to win families back. A number of parents told me last year they left due to a lack of academic rigor in the schools, but that was anecdotal. Regardless, ask them all: What can we do for you?

I would love to see a campaign for the district to even make the effort to ask departing families WHY they are leaving.

The other major pandemic hangover in Seattle schools is even worse than the enrollment drop. It’s learning loss.

The district is reporting that white and Asian kids have rebounded near to pre-pandemic levels. But Black students have not.

The data is deeply concerning and requires urgent action,” says a staff report to the Seattle School Board, before Wednesday’s regular board meeting.

The gist is that only 17% of 3,755 Black students passed the state’s standardized math test in 2023, down from 2022. The results for most other categories of students — white, Hispanic, Asian — went up.

 One of the bolder actions the staff report suggests, still some way off in the future, is “high-dosage tutoring.” That means meeting kids one-on-one and personally back-schooling them to try to catch them up.

It was something I floated we do three years ago, to both dig out of learning loss and relieve the pandemic’s social isolation. As always, I have no special insight — I just plagiarized the idea from national education researchers.

Robin Lake, director of the Center on Reinventing Public Education at the University of Washington, told The Seattle Times two years ago that school districts like Seattle were already late then in boosting tutoring.

What IS SPS doing?

The district hired some coaches to help teachers boost math instruction for Black middle schoolers. One of the board members asked, in advance of Wednesday’s meeting, what specifically these coaches do. 

 “Our coaches are leading common Red Wednesday PD around the 5 Practices in Practice, leading grade level math PLCs, co-teaching/modeling enVision lessons with the 5 Practices for orchestrating productive math discourse and providing planning/feedback coaching cycles with teachers,” came the answer.

My parents were teachers, so I’m familiar with eduspeak. Still I’m going to have to trust that all involved here have some clue what that gobbledygook means.

He continues:

I’m a believer that Seattle has an army of volunteers eager to do this work, if asked. So far they have not been asked. I’ve also featured the success of a new tutoring nonprofit, The Math Agency, which is doubling the math learning rates for its low-income students. They’re getting resistance to expanding in Seattle, so they’re shifting some of their work away to … Bellevue.

Come on, Seattle. The alarms are sounding. This should be an all-hands on deck moment for our schools. It’s not a time for the ship to be seeming so rudderless.

I will write to Westneat about the SOFG (Student Outcomes Focused Governance) that SPS is implementing at both a high investment of both time and money. I think understanding that twist would answer the question of why BOTH the district AND the Board just fiddle as Rome burns. 

Comments

Anonymous said…
A parent survey would be nice but is anyone digging in to *where* enrollment is declining and crafting their inquiry around that? Portland OR public schools is shrinking faster than SPS, and most large urban school districts are down 10% across the country. At this point, there’s nothing to lose by asking any parents that will still give the district the time of day, but this problem isn’t unique to Seattle. Smart leadership would read the tea leaves families shared at the last round of school closure forums.

Endemic
Anonymous said…
Forever grateful to you Melissa. Thanks for these posts and keeping us informed.
Anonymous said…
Math has been a problem for SPS for so many years. Its insistence on story problems over direct instruction math was a killer for our boys with A.D.H.D. They were hopelessly confused with this approach and I bet it is why outside tutoring services like Kuman are so popular.

Why is this so hard for SPS to figure out? Why don’t they ask the science and math professors at UW what students are lacking when they test into remedial math in college? Instead, I believe they put Tracey Castro-Gill in charge of math curriculum a few years ago and it was a disaster for those students in the pilot program.

Seattle is a city with highly educated families. If the school district was excellent I bet many of those families would support public schools and be very involved. They would expect highly capable classes and first rate curricula. Right now, they do not see it.

District watcher
SPSAskedForThis said…
Asian American parent here, in a mid northern neighborhood of Seattle, very active in our elem school PTA and building level committees, so no one can say I was not engaged or tried. It became incredibly clear to me during the pandemic that SPS simply does not want me or my family in the district.

The messaging from SPS could not be more clear that they do not care about my kids' academic success and it's up to me and other parents in our neighborhood to fend for ourselves and pay for basic things like a librarian or nurse out of our own pocketbooks. Of course, all the misguided handwringing about equity, so we have the school board and the SCPTSA telling us we shouldn't have the right to do that, because we should just do without.

Speaking of, the big "take back the PTA" person from the SCPTSA enrolled her kid in private school this year. I would like to someday thank that horribly ignorant person on behalf of all PTAs for the wasted hours trying to stave off the utter decimation of long standing neighborhood school communities.
Outsider said…
I can translate the eduspeak regarding the math coaches: "Some ... consultants ... are making ... a lot of money."

I don't know the actual history of SFOG, but it has a certain ring to it that suggests a theory. School systems especially back east, in old, corrupt cities with machine politics, have tended to be run in the interests of adults who take money from the system: patronage jobs in central admin, no-show jobs in school site maintenance, cozy deals for unions, and of course lucrative contracts for well-connected consultants. The way it's organized politically is obvious: adults who take money from the system organize to elect school board members who will keep the gravy flowing (or in cities where schools are run by the city, it's all part of the primary political machine.) In that context, SFOG could be seen as a cri de coeur to stop the corruption and actually run schools in the interest of students. Maybe that is what it originally meant.

Seattle schools seem never to have been so corrupt, so it's a mystery indeed why the current Seattle school board has jumped so eagerly onto the SFOG wagon. Adult concerns do indeed dominate school governance, but here it's ideology rather than just taking money from the system. The priorities in governance of Seattle schools have been progressive culture war crusades and racial social engineering, and the current school board does not oppose any of that. So what is SFOG supposed to mean here? As opposed to what? Ironic meanwhile that the school administration seems increasingly incompetent, and prone to outsourcing its work to consultants. How much are those math coaches being paid, and who are their friends within the district staff?

Anonymous said…
I agree about math District Watcher. It has been a disaster for our two youngest kids who are both in high school and have always had great grades in math but are now constantly struggling to pull together mastery of basic concepts let alone progress into higher levels of math. We've done a lot to help them, but the curriculum and sequencing has been ridiculous. Our kids have no interest in science or STEM now due to the crappy math education they've received, and that wasn't always the case. Sad.

-Doesn't Add Up
Anonymous said…
Wow- a SCPTSA memberhas enrolled their child in private/independent school?!If you believe that people, including parents on behalf of their children, are competitive around resources and jobs, it would seem that failing public schools help justify the costs of private school for a superior education. If a parent on SCPTSA has their kid in private school, one would hope they are at least sharing donating the tuition expenses dollar for dollar with PTSA’s that can’t afford to send kids to private schools like themselves

Seriously, if this is really happening, an open letter to SCPTSA seems merited pointing out the appearance of hypocrisy.

Clowns to the left of me, jokers to the right, stuck in the middle with you Parent
Anonymous said…
It’s so obvious! Rigor!! Why did they think getting rid of advanced learning was a good idea? Didn’t they know any family who values education would leave?

And the over the top Covid restrictions did not help. SPS told parents for 2 years that school does not matter.

Mag mom
Anonymous said…
"the big "take back the PTA" person from the SCPTSA enrolled her kid in private school this year"

That seems like a big deal. Someone with the privilege to be able to afford private school, working hard to defund other schools and tell families their kids have to do without even as she's able to buy for her kid what other kids no longer get in SPS.

That's a massive scandal.

Public Schooler
Just to state, I can never criticize a parent for choosing something not public for their child. Different children need different things.

However, if a person is criticizing other parents for their are doing for their public school while their child is at a private school, I find that quite irritating.
Unknown said…
I second everything Outsider wrote.

SP
Anonymous said…
" If the school district was excellent I bet many of those families would support public schools and be very involved" - Every home owner in Seattle is supporting SPS via taxation so that's just BS.

"Someone with the privilege to be able to afford private school" - Don't try your shame tactics on hard working parents who choose to both pay taxes and get there kids out of the SPS mess. You should be praising them!

Split it
Anonymous said…
I have dealt with SPS for 13 years now between my own children and foster children. Children from all across the spectrum from gifted to learning disabilities, and at 6 different schools in the district. I've seen what they were and what they have become. I used to sing their praises, wonderful services for kids with learning challenges, great educational opportunities for kids who are academically minded. Now I would warn others to avoid it.

As someone seriously considering leaving for either a neighboring school district or even resorting to homeschool for my 1st grader, my reasons are simple: I would like to see my children learning.

The claim that teachers will scale work for kids more or less proficient at a subject is laughable(not that I'm sure they don't wish they could, the teachers are wonderful). But how can a teacher find that time to provide multiple groups of children with individualized levels of instruction? While also helping those who really need extra help to grasp a concept.

Instead, they work with the kids who need the most help and are behind in a subject and everyone gets to learn at that same level regardless of ability.

I don't see either of my elementary children challenged, even my child who struggles at math. She regularly does her brothers homework with no assistance, he is a grade ahead of her. His work is almost challenging for her. Can you imagine how unchallenged my son is, who is actually very proficient at math and regularly for fun does math 3 grades higher than his own?

So yes, I am looking into other options. After 3 years at this school (which I love), but can't imagine my children getting anything more than the most remedial education here, and it may be the best of the 3 elementary schools I've experienced in SPS.
Anonymous said…
@ SPSAskedForThis et all,
Really?!?!? Are you willing to harass parent leaders for making a choice for their kids? Worry about SCHOOL BOARD CANDIDATES WITH KIDS IN PRIVATE SCHOOLS. That is the hypocrisy you should be worried about. Specially if the owner of this blog supports them.
Yes, Ben, I am looking at you.

Watching
Watching, I have always said that parents know their kids and know what their needs are. I do not fault anyone for having a child in a private school. Gitenstein also has a kid in SPS.

It would be hypocrisy if anyone hid it and no one is.
West Seattle parent said…
Melissa -
Do you know if there has been a deep dive looking at how many kids have transferred to the online school option that SPS offers? I’m not sure if those numbers are included as enrolled in SPS.
My kid had a lot of post pandemic absence/school refusal challenges. He worked hard and fortunately we were able to afford and find the help he needed. Several times the school administrators suggested he goes to online school “until he gets better”. As you probably know, going back to online school makes school refusal worse in most kids.
Since then I have met several families who struggle with school refusal. Some of the kids went to online school and some have “hybrid” programs.

In short, I can’t help but wondering if some kids are getting funneled to online school and lost that way.

Anonymous said…
I have stated on this blog about why my family opted out of SPS years ago, thank you Melissa for the opportunity. Years ago, ad well as recently, I am usually attacked by other commenters in return - regardless of the scores of people who have made similar decisions for similar reasons.

To those of you that remain in the system, I wish you a great deal of luck. You will need it.

Public 2Private

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