Wednesday, October 28, 2015

How Did Washington State Students Do on NAEP?

From OSPI:

How many states scored statistically higher than Washington?
Reading: 3 states
Math: 3 states and the Department of Defense Schools

Reading: 5 states and the Department of Defense Schools
Math: 5 states and the Department of Defense Schools

“I’m pleased with our state’s performance,” State Superintendent Randy Dorn said. “Although our 8th-grade scores are not as high as they were last time, our state’s overall trend has been continually upward since the beginning of NAEP testing. I’m proud of the progress we’ve made.”

2015 NAEP Results 


Anonymous said...

Another reason we don't need the charter profiteers in this state.


Anonymous said...

Here's a link to the page for math 4th graders

Washington is worse than 3 states/jurisdictions, better than 29, and the same as 19.
But fewer than half the students were proficient or above.

In 8th grade math even fewer students are proficient or above.

Does that mean the longer you go to school in Washington, the more your learning slows down?


Anonymous said...

WA State has very favorable demographics in comparison with most other states.

In 2013 I believe that WA ranked #7 on NAEP
when corrected for demographics WA ranking dropped to #13

The demographic analysis was done by the Urban Institute and I do not believe their report for NAEP 2015 is out yet.

Most WA teachers work hard and are concerned about students.

Many WA parents provide great learning support for their children as do Sylvan, Mathnasium, Kumon, etc.

It is always interesting to dig into NAEP at the subgroup level and see the scores for different ethnic and economic groups in WA State. I have not done that yet this year.

Jay Greene posted Reading Gains by low-income students from 2003 to 2015

Some states that started really low in 2003 made big gains
top 5 in gains were WA DC and 4 southern states.
WA DC +18 FL +15 Alabama +15 Louisiana +14 Georgia +14

WA state was near the bottom with a score of +2.
Only 9 states showed lower gain.

-- Dan Dempsey

Anonymous said...

Looking at NAEP overall WA did worse in 2015 than in 2013
Looking at ranking of states WA is definitely worse.

Here is a link to the Urban Institute's NAEP 2015 demographic adjustment.

eyeballing NAEP 2015 WA is about 10th.
After demographic adjustment of all states
WA ranks 20th.

NAEP 2013 WA was ranked 7th
After demographic adjustment of all states
WA ranked 13th.

Massachusetts is still ranked #1 before and after adjustment.

After demographic adjustment Arizona now ranks above WA.

The after adjustment score rankings for (2013) and 2015 are below

(13) - 20 -Washington State
(30) - 24 -Common Core heavy Kentucky is 24th
(17) - 17 -Common Core heavy New York is 17th

Remember this is a comparative ranking and nearly every state did worse in 2015 than in 2013... Thus although NY appears to be the same ranked at 17th, NY NAEP performance went down from 2013 to 2015.

-- Dan Dempsey

Anonymous said...

Here is how Washington did in 2015
NAEP average scores:

(246) 245 Washington Math grade 4 (2013) 2015
(241) 240 Nation Math grade 4

(290) 287 Washington Math grade 8 (2013) 2015
(284) 281 Nation Math grade 8

(225) 226 Washington Reading grade 4 (2013) 2015
(221) 221 Nation Reading grade 4

(272) 267 Washington Reading grade 8 (2013) 2015
(266) 264 Nation Reading grade 8

WA had a statistically significant drop in
grade 8 math (-3)
grade 8 reading (-5)

How will this be spun?

-- Dan Dempsey

Anonymous said...

If families are supplementing heavily at home, how is this an accurate measure of public education?

SW Mom

Melissa Westbrook said...

SW Mom, good question.

Anonymous said...

Don't many of those states which we do better than have a much higher percent of private (not tested) students? I don't feel too comfortable with these numbers.

-Do it

Anonymous said...

-Do it

Which numbers are you uncomfortable with?
How do you see these as impacted by not tested students?

-- Dan Dempsey

Anonymous said...

One of the issues with comparing the student populations between states is that many states have instituted a 3rd grade retention policy based on reading test scores. Thus those students being tested represent a different population than those in states that do not retain students based on test scores. In the states with 3rd grade retention policies, only the higher scoring kids are sitting for the NAEP, whereas in WA State, it's all kids.
It's much like those states that claim such high scores on the SAT, only to discover that the majority of the test-takers are white and wealthy, whereas in other states where SAT scores have gone down it is most likely due to more students of all races and income levels taking the test.